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Define the following characteristics of business cycles: recurrence and persistence.

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Business cycles exhibit recurrence and p...

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Business cycles all display the following characteristics except


A) a period of expansion followed by one of contraction.
B) comovement of many economic variables.
C) rising prices during an expansion and falling prices during the contraction.
D) they last a period of one to twelve years.

E) A) and D)
F) A) and C)

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Identify the comovement (i.e.,direction and timing)of the following variables over a business cycle: (a)industrial production; (b)unemployment; (c)nominal interest rates; (d)nominal money supply growth; and (e)investment.

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(a)Industrial production is a procyclica...

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Which of the following macroeconomic variables is procyclical and coincident with the business cycle?


A) Residential investment
B) Nominal interest rates
C) Industrial production
D) Unemployment

E) C) and D)
F) A) and D)

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Stock and Watson found that ________ was responsible for about 20-30 % of the reduction in output volatility that occurred in the mid-1980s.


A) reduced shocks to productivity
B) reduced shocks to food and commodity prices
C) better monetary policy
D) better inventory control

E) None of the above
F) A) and D)

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For each outcome below,tell what type of shift must have taken place in either the aggregate demand curve or the long-run aggregate supply curve. (a)In the short run,the price level is unchanged and output rises. (b)In the long run,the price level declines and output is unchanged. (c)In the long run,the price level rises and output declines.

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(a)The aggregate demand curve ...

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Which of the following is true?


A) Employment and unemployment are both coincident with the business cycle.
B) Employment and unemployment are both procyclical.
C) Employment is procyclical and unemployment is coincident with the business cycle.
D) Employment is procyclical and unemployment is countercyclical.

E) B) and C)
F) A) and B)

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You want to invest in a firm whose profits show large fluctuations throughout the business cycle.Which of the following would you invest in?


A) A corporation that depends heavily on business fixed investment
B) A corporation that depends heavily on consumer services
C) A corporation that depends heavily on consumer nondurables
D) A corporation that depends heavily on government purchases

E) B) and C)
F) All of the above

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Which of the following macroeconomic variables is procyclical and lags the business cycle?


A) Business fixed investment
B) Employment
C) Stock prices
D) Nominal interest rates

E) All of the above
F) C) and D)

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The widespread decline in the volatility of many macroeconomic variables after 1984 led economists to term this period the


A) Great Moderation.
B) Low Volatility Era.
C) Steady State.
D) Long Boom.

E) All of the above
F) C) and D)

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The fact that business cycles are recurrent but not periodic means that


A) business cycles occur at predictable intervals, but do not last a predetermined length of time.
B) the business cycle's standard contraction-trough-expansion-peak pattern has been observed to occur over and over again, but not at predictable intervals.
C) business cycles occur at predictable intervals, but do not all follow a standard contraction-trough-expansion-peak pattern.
D) business cycles last a predetermined length of time, but do not all follow a standard contraction-trough-expansion-peak pattern.

E) None of the above
F) B) and D)

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The probability that an employed worker will lose his or her job in the next month is known as


A) the unemployment rate.
B) the job finding rate.
C) the underemployment rate.
D) the job loss rate.

E) All of the above
F) B) and C)

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You want to invest in a firm whose profits show small fluctuations throughout the business cycle.Which of the following would you invest in?


A) A corporation that depends heavily on business fixed investment
B) A corporation that depends heavily on residential investment
C) A corporation that depends heavily on consumer nondurables
D) A corporation that depends heavily on consumer durables

E) A) and B)
F) B) and C)

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Industries that are extremely sensitive to the business cycle are the


A) durable goods and service sectors.
B) nondurable goods and service sectors.
C) capital goods and nondurable goods sectors.
D) capital goods and durable goods sectors.

E) A) and B)
F) None of the above

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In the long run,an increase in government purchases of military equipment would cause output to ________ and the aggregate price level to ________.


A) stay constant; fall
B) fall; fall
C) fall; stay constant
D) stay constant; rise

E) None of the above
F) C) and D)

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Christina Romer's criticism of the belief that business cycles had moderated since World War II depended on the fact that


A) estimates of the timing of business cycles since World War II had been inaccurate.
B) misuse of historical data had caused economists to understate the size of cyclical fluctuations in the post-World War II era.
C) economists had ignored the roles of the government and international trade in mitigating economic fluctuations prior to World War II.
D) economists had left out important components of GDP, such as wholesale and retail distribution, transportation, and services, in their pre-World War II estimates.

E) A) and C)
F) A) and B)

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The NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee picks recession dates by looking at many variables,the four most important of which are industrial production,manufacturing and trade sales,nonfarm employment,and real personal income.These variables are known as


A) leading indicators.
B) coincident indicators.
C) lagging indicators.
D) recession indicators.

E) A) and B)
F) B) and D)

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Which of the following macroeconomic variables does not vary much over the seasons?


A) The nominal money stock
B) The unemployment rate
C) The real wage
D) Average labor productivity

E) B) and D)
F) A) and B)

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Research on the effects of recessions on the real level of GDP shows that


A) recessions cause only temporary reductions in real GDP, which are offset by growth during the expansion phase.
B) recessions cause large, permanent reductions in the real level of GDP.
C) recessions cause both temporary and permanent declines in real GDP, but most of the decline is temporary.
D) recessions cause both temporary and permanent declines in real GDP, but most of the decline is permanent.

E) A) and B)
F) B) and C)

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Which of the following macroeconomic variables could not be used as a leading economic indicator?


A) Residential investment
B) Employment
C) The money supply
D) Stock prices

E) B) and D)
F) B) and C)

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